Tag Archives: 2012 election

Adding Obama’s Electoral Votes

Why We Worry / Prognostications Desk Media reporting tends inexplicably to focus on national poll numbers, when the race will ultimately be decided by state-level votes in a half dozen or so battlegrounds. The national numbers are useful only for assessing a candidate’s general level of support, which might maybe possibly help predict how toss-up […]

Can Obama win North Carolina?

Why We Worry / Raleigh-Durham Bureau After favoring Republican presidential candidates for seven consecutive elections, North Carolina – in a surprise result – voted for President Obama in 2008. He won by less than 14,000 votes. But Mitt Romney is currently leading the polls in this battleground state. Though Obama’s deficit has been low (generally […]